UPDATE: Another winner, but the Patriots were sweating it all the way to the end! Looks like Joe Flacco was able to move the ball as I assumed he would. AUTHOR'S NOTE: For those of my readers who have no interest in probabilistic forecasting, this will be the last post on the subject until the … Continue reading NFL Football: Patriots at Bengals, 11/23/25
Sports Readings
NFL Football: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens, 11/23/25
UPDATE: This one turned out to be a winner! AUTHOR'S NOTE: Let's try this again with a modified spread. I fixed a conceptual flaw in the design to better align the offense and defense factors between the two teams; in the last reading everything I said about the superiority of the Bills' defense should have … Continue reading NFL Football: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens, 11/23/25
Thursday Night Football: Houston Texans vs. Buffalo Bills, 11/20/25
UPDATE: Looks like I had the defensive advantage on the wrong side; I over-complicated what should have been a head-to-head comparison and missed the mark. This spread needed some work to sort out the offense/defense pairing. In practice, the original spread did not lend itself to a clean judgment regarding the forces at work, so … Continue reading Thursday Night Football: Houston Texans vs. Buffalo Bills, 11/20/25
Court Cards “On the Diamond”
"Roundin' third, he was headed for homeIt was a brown-eyed handsome man."- from "Brown Eyed Handsome Man" by Chuck Berry (who wasn't talking about the Knight of Swords or Pentacles but certainly could have been) AUTHOR'S NOTE: As always, my title is a "lure" to spark interest but the objective is nothing more than coming … Continue reading Court Cards “On the Diamond”
Super Bowl LIX Forecast: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs
UPDATE: My formal prediction could not have been more wrong, but it's very interesting that the "Oh-by-the-way" comment I made at the end of the essay was almost completely on-target: it proposed an unimaginable 48-to-28 score in favor of the Eagles, when the actual score was 40-22 with the Eagles handily defeating the Chiefs. As … Continue reading Super Bowl LIX Forecast: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Football Forecast: 2025 NFC Championship – Washington at Philadelphia
UPDATE: Well, this one certainly missed the mark except for the fact that it got the winner right (although the odds-makers already told us that). The Eagles reeled off three unanswered touchdowns in the 4th Quarter, without which the final would have been 34-23, much closer to one of the predicted outcomes of 31-24. The … Continue reading NFL Football Forecast: 2025 NFC Championship – Washington at Philadelphia
NFL Football Forecast: 2025 AFC Championship – Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
UPDATE: This one turned out to be pretty much "on the money." The final score of 32-29 in favor of the Chiefs closely agrees with my "high-end" prediction of 35-24 with Kansas City on top at the end of the game. I'll take it as a forecasting success. AUTHOR'S NOTE: I decided to post this … Continue reading NFL Football Forecast: 2025 AFC Championship – Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
“Home-Court Advantage” in Tarot Reading
AUTHOR'S NOTE: A staple of tarot reading is the "dual-path" spread that is intended to highlight the more auspicious of two choices for the querent's consideration. They come in many shapes and sizes (typically parallel rows or columns, and sometimes "forked" arrays) but are usually brief. Ideally, each path will be neutral before the cards … Continue reading “Home-Court Advantage” in Tarot Reading
Super Bowl LVIII: San Francisco vs. Kansas City
UPDATE: Well, this certainly turned out to be an interesting reading. It was right about the game going into overtime for only the second time in 58 Super Bowls but slightly wrong about the score, entirely due to the fact that the NFL changed the overtime rules this year. In past seasons it was a … Continue reading Super Bowl LVIII: San Francisco vs. Kansas City
A Predictive Model for Low-Scoring Sports
AUTHOR'S NOTE: In the past, my efforts to predict the outcome of sporting events have been limited to sports like Major League Baseball and NFL football that have modest to moderate scoring projections, typically anywhere from 1 run (baseball) to 28 points (football) for either team over the course of a game I'm working on … Continue reading A Predictive Model for Low-Scoring Sports
Parsifal's Wheel Tarot & Astrology 