UPDATE: Another winner, but the Patriots were sweating it all the way to the end! Looks like Joe Flacco was able to move the ball as I assumed he would. AUTHOR'S NOTE: For those of my readers who have no interest in probabilistic forecasting, this will be the last post on the subject until the … Continue reading NFL Football: Patriots at Bengals, 11/23/25
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NFL Football: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens, 11/23/25
UPDATE: This one turned out to be a winner! AUTHOR'S NOTE: Let's try this again with a modified spread. I fixed a conceptual flaw in the design to better align the offense and defense factors between the two teams; in the last reading everything I said about the superiority of the Bills' defense should have … Continue reading NFL Football: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens, 11/23/25
Thursday Night Football: Houston Texans vs. Buffalo Bills, 11/20/25
UPDATE: Looks like I had the defensive advantage on the wrong side; I over-complicated what should have been a head-to-head comparison and missed the mark. This spread needed some work to sort out the offense/defense pairing. In practice, the original spread did not lend itself to a clean judgment regarding the forces at work, so … Continue reading Thursday Night Football: Houston Texans vs. Buffalo Bills, 11/20/25
Super Bowl LIX Forecast: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs
UPDATE: My formal prediction could not have been more wrong, but it's very interesting that the "Oh-by-the-way" comment I made at the end of the essay was almost completely on-target: it proposed an unimaginable 48-to-28 score in favor of the Eagles, when the actual score was 40-22 with the Eagles handily defeating the Chiefs. As … Continue reading Super Bowl LIX Forecast: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Football Forecast: 2025 NFC Championship – Washington at Philadelphia
UPDATE: Well, this one certainly missed the mark except for the fact that it got the winner right (although the odds-makers already told us that). The Eagles reeled off three unanswered touchdowns in the 4th Quarter, without which the final would have been 34-23, much closer to one of the predicted outcomes of 31-24. The … Continue reading NFL Football Forecast: 2025 NFC Championship – Washington at Philadelphia
NFL Football Forecast: 2025 AFC Championship – Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
UPDATE: This one turned out to be pretty much "on the money." The final score of 32-29 in favor of the Chiefs closely agrees with my "high-end" prediction of 35-24 with Kansas City on top at the end of the game. I'll take it as a forecasting success. AUTHOR'S NOTE: I decided to post this … Continue reading NFL Football Forecast: 2025 AFC Championship – Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
Parsifal's Wheel Tarot & Astrology 