UPDATE: The take-away from this exercise is that tarot is much more accurate for doing sports predictions. I've had some remarkable successes with it going back to Super Bowl 51 in 2016 and the World Series in 2018. From a learning perspective, the advantage of doing them is that you get immediate feedback on the … Continue reading Super Bowl LX: Patriots vs. Seahawks
football
NFL Football: Patriots at Bengals, 11/23/25
UPDATE: Another winner, but the Patriots were sweating it all the way to the end! Looks like Joe Flacco was able to move the ball as I assumed he would. AUTHOR'S NOTE: For those of my readers who have no interest in probabilistic forecasting, this will be the last post on the subject until the … Continue reading NFL Football: Patriots at Bengals, 11/23/25
NFL Football: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens, 11/23/25
UPDATE: This one turned out to be a winner! AUTHOR'S NOTE: Let's try this again with a modified spread. I fixed a conceptual flaw in the design to better align the offense and defense factors between the two teams; in the last reading everything I said about the superiority of the Bills' defense should have … Continue reading NFL Football: New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens, 11/23/25
Thursday Night Football: Houston Texans vs. Buffalo Bills, 11/20/25
UPDATE: Looks like I had the defensive advantage on the wrong side; I over-complicated what should have been a head-to-head comparison and missed the mark. This spread needed some work to sort out the offense/defense pairing. In practice, the original spread did not lend itself to a clean judgment regarding the forces at work, so … Continue reading Thursday Night Football: Houston Texans vs. Buffalo Bills, 11/20/25
Super Bowl LIX Forecast: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs
UPDATE: My formal prediction could not have been more wrong, but it's very interesting that the "Oh-by-the-way" comment I made at the end of the essay was almost completely on-target: it proposed an unimaginable 48-to-28 score in favor of the Eagles, when the actual score was 40-22 with the Eagles handily defeating the Chiefs. As … Continue reading Super Bowl LIX Forecast: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs
NFL Football Forecast: 2025 NFC Championship – Washington at Philadelphia
UPDATE: Well, this one certainly missed the mark except for the fact that it got the winner right (although the odds-makers already told us that). The Eagles reeled off three unanswered touchdowns in the 4th Quarter, without which the final would have been 34-23, much closer to one of the predicted outcomes of 31-24. The … Continue reading NFL Football Forecast: 2025 NFC Championship – Washington at Philadelphia
NFL Football Forecast: 2025 AFC Championship – Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
UPDATE: This one turned out to be pretty much "on the money." The final score of 32-29 in favor of the Chiefs closely agrees with my "high-end" prediction of 35-24 with Kansas City on top at the end of the game. I'll take it as a forecasting success. AUTHOR'S NOTE: I decided to post this … Continue reading NFL Football Forecast: 2025 AFC Championship – Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
Parsifal's Wheel Tarot & Astrology 